Kentucky vs. Oregon State Prediction for NCAA Baseball Super Regional

LEXINGTON – Kentucky baseball continues to revise its record book. Last week, UK won the Lexington Regional of the NCAA tournament for the first time in program history, defeating Western Michigan, Illinois and Indiana State in consecutive games. It marks the first time since the institution of super-regional play in 1999 that the Wildcats won an NCAA regional without dropping a game.

Their romp through the region gave them the right to organize a super-regional for the first time.

To take that final step and make its College World Series debut, Kentucky will have to get past Oregon State, which is no stranger to college baseball’s biggest stage.

The Beavers, the No. 15 national seed in this year’s tournament, have made seven CWS appearances, including six since the turn of the century. Once they arrived in Omaha, Nebraska, the Beavers capitalized and captured the national title three times (2006, 2007 and 2018).

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Oregon State earned a super-regional spot by duplicating the UK feat by winning all three regional games it played, beating Tulane in the opener and then beating UC Irvine in consecutive games.

The Wildcats and Beavers have had great seasons.

Great Britain claimed a share of the SEC regular-season championship for only the second time and enters the super regional with a 43-14 record in 2024.

Oregon State is 45-14 this year and goes 19-10 in Pac-12 play during the regular season to finish second in the conference, a half-game behind champion Arizona.

The Beavers excel offensively and defensively.

Second baseman Travis Bazzana is the Pac-12 Player of the Year, ranks in the top 10 nationally in numerous statistical categories and is expected to be one of the top picks in this year’s MLB draft. He is hitting .415 this season, with 28 home runs and 66 RBIs. But he’s not the only OSU player doing it at the plate: Outfielders Micah McDowell (.403) and LF Dallas Macias (.325) have solid batting averages, while designated hitter Gavin Turley has a team-best 74 RBIs. The Beavers have posted a single-season program with 118 home runs in 2024. Their 381 walks this season are third nationally, just one behind first-place South Carolina and Troy. Oregon State also ranks among the top 10 in the nation in on-base percentage (.426; eighth) and slugging percentage (.565; seventh).

On the mound, Oregon State has some top pitchers.

Aiden May is 7-0 this season and has a 2.88 ERA. Jacob Kmatz is right behind, with a 7-2 record in 2024 and a 3.29 ERA. As a staff, the Beavers have a 3.98 ERA, which leads the Pac-12 and ranks seventh in Division I.

Here’s what you need to know about Kentucky’s super regional game against Oregon State at Kentucky Proud Park, with first pitch on Saturday at 6 p.m.:

Prediction of Kentucky baseball vs. Oregon State in NCAA Super Regional bracket

Kentucky 7, Oregon State 6: The Beavers have talent at the plate and on the mound. A program with multiple national titles and numerous trips to the College World Series won’t be affected by what will likely be a record crowd Saturday night in Lexington. But if Oregon State has shown one weakness this season, it’s that it struggles away from home. The Beavers are 27-2 this year in Corvallis, Oregon, while they are 9-10 in road games. Saturday is shaping up as a titanic battle between two superlative squads. Expect multiple lead changes and emphasize play from both sides. But in the first super regional home game in program history, it’s hard to see the Wildcats not finding a way to escape with a hard-fought victory.

Kentucky vs. Oregon State Odds in the 2024 NCAA Tournament

Odds courtesy of BetMGM. The odds will be updated as they become available.

Scatter: N/A

Moneyline: Oregon State, +100; Kentucky, -130

Top/bottom: N/A

Kentucky Baseball Odds to Reach 2024 College World Series BetMGM

Odds courtesy of BetMGM. The odds will be updated as they become available.

Kentucky: The Wildcats have the fifth-best odds at +1000 to win the College World Series, according to BetMGM.

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